Application of Leslie Matrix Model for Projections of age-specific female Population for India
- Author Anurag Verma
- Co-Author Abhinav Singh
- DOI
- Country : India
- Subject : Population Studies
Keywords : Population Projection; Leslie Matrices; Fertility; Mortality
Abstract
The idea of the future of the population is achieve with the help of the projection of the population. Leslie Matrix is an old method to project the future population. The aim of this study is to test the accuracy of the Leslie matrix, which is an age-structured version for projected future population based on fertility and survival rates. In this study, we constructed a Leslie matrix that projects the female population in India for every five-year interval between 2001 and 2051. To verify the accuracy of this technique, we compared the female data projected for 2011 with the data for the female population in India according to the 2011 census. Demonstrate the effectiveness of this method. It also summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of this method. Finally we conclude that Leslie matrix is mostly suitable for middle age group between 16-59 years. The projected total female’s population is 978.93 million in 2051 year.
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